Résumé
Purpose
The aims of this multicentre retrospective study of locally advanced head and neck cancer (LAHNC) treated with
definitive radiotherapy were to (1) identify positron emission tomography (PET)-
18
F-fluorodeoxyglucose (
18
F-FDG) parameters
correlated with overall survival (OS) in a training cohort, (2) compute a prognostic model, and (3) externally validate this model
in an independent cohort.
Materials and methods
A total of 237 consecutive LAHNC patients divided into training (
n
= 127) and validation cohorts (
n
=
110) were retrospectively analysed. The following PET parameters were analysed: SUV
Max
, metabolic tumour volume (MTV),
total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and SUV
Mean
for the primary tumour and lymph nodes using a relative SUV
Max
threshold or an
absolute SUV threshold. Cox analyses were performed on OS in the training cohort. The c-index was used to identify the highly
prognostic parameters. A prognostic model was subsequently identified, and a nomogram was generated. The model was
externally tested in the validation cohort.
Results
In univariate analysis, the significant PET parameters for the primary tumour included MTV (relative thresholds from 6
to 83% and absolute thresholds from 1.5 to 6.5) and TLG (relative thresholds from 1 to 82% and absolute thresholds from 0.5 to
4.5). For the lymph nodes, the significant parameters included MTVand TLG regardless of the threshold value. In multivariate
analysis, tumour site, p16 status, MTV35% of the primary tumour, and MTV44% of the lymph nodes were independent
predictors of OS. Based on these four parameters, a prognostic model was identified with a c-index of 0.72. The corresponding
nomogram was generated. This prognostic model was externally validated, achieving a c-index of 0.66.
Conclusions
A prognostic model of OS based on primary tumour and lymph node MTV, tumour site, and p16 status was
proposed and validated. The corresponding nomogram may be used to tailor individualized treatment